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How many copies did Super Mombo Quest sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–36k
$123k–$330k after Steam's cut $223k–$507k before Steam's cut
from 899 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Super Mombo Quest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Super Mombo Quest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–3k
best case 421k (You Have to Win the Game)
Games like Super Mombo Quest

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–3k copies

≈ $5k–$23k after Steam's cut

from ~45 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: You Have to Win the Game at ≈ 321k–521k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 17 reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 23.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (8 of 8) and Arcade (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Retro + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy under 20k
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2.1x vs typical
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AdventureAction-Adventure
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PlatformerSide Scroller
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≈ 321k–521k
129x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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MetroidvaniaFree to Play
DARK MINUTE: Kira's Adventure
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≈ 719–1k
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$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
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ActionAdventure
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≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
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Two Parsecs From Earth
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≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
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Bunny Guys!
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Est. copies
≈ 63k–102k
57x vs typical
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Est. revenue
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$4.99
3k reviews
Mixed
MultiplayerPvP

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