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How many copies did DARK MINUTE: Kira's Adventure sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 719–1k
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
from 29 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DARK MINUTE: Kira's Adventure and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DARK MINUTE: Kira's Adventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 739k–1.9M
best case 6.6M (STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™)
Games like DARK MINUTE: Kira's Adventure

A typical game among these

≈ 739k–1.9M copies

≈ $6.6M–$23.5M after Steam's cut

from ~34k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ at ≈ 5.1M–8.2M copies, ≈ $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 23k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action-Adventure (7 of 8) and Exploration (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Souls-like, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Souls-like + Swordplay + Sci-fi; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mirror's Edge™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureParkour
Touhou Luna Nights
2019
Est. copies
≈ 432k–701k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaDifficult
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
176k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
Chained Together
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
64k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAdventure
Ori and the Will of the Wisps
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
147k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulMetroidvania
Sonic Frontiers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 709k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackOpen World
Indiana Jones and the Great Circle
2024
Est. copies
≈ 515k–837k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.6M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.0M before Steam's cut
$69.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureFirst-Person
UNCHARTED™: Legacy of Thieves Collection
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction-Adventure

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