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How many copies did からかい上手の高木さんVR 1学期 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
from 180 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid からかい上手の高木さんVR 1学期 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including からかい上手の高木さんVR 1学期's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 162k–192k
best case 4.9M (EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23)
Games like からかい上手の高木さんVR 1学期

A typical game among these

≈ 162k–192k copies

≈ $172k–$350k after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23 at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 803 reviews in their first month; the range was 287 to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Immersive Sim (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sports. The breakout hits carry Sports + Controller + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
150k reviews
Mixed
Football (Soccer)Sports
The Test: Hypothesis Rising
2020
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$332k before Steam's cut
$1.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationMultiple Endings
F1® 22
2022
Est. copies
≈ 634k–1.0M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Mixed
RacingImmersive Sim
Romance of the Three Kingdoms XIII
2016
Est. copies
≈ 317k–516k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$14.1M after Steam's cut $9.5M–$21.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
8k reviews
Mixed
The Test: Final Revelation
2020
Est. copies
≈ 133k–216k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$73k–$196k after Steam's cut $132k–$301k before Steam's cut
$1.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationChoose Your Own Adventure
Chill Pulse
2024
Est. copies
≈ 120k–195k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$165k–$443k after Steam's cut $299k–$681k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualUtilities
Initial Drift Online
2023
Est. copies
≈ 145k–235k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$198k–$533k after Steam's cut $361k–$821k before Steam's cut
$4.99
6k reviews
Mixed
RacingImmersive Sim
[Chilla's Art] The Closing Shift | 閉店事件
2022
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$132k–$354k after Steam's cut $239k–$544k before Steam's cut
$5.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureSimulation

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