How much revenue did The Confession make?

$14k–$37k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Confession sell?

Q: How many copies did The Confession sell?

25k to 41k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 25k–41k; $14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$57k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Confession and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Confession's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 193k–510k

best case 1.1M (Sultan's Game)

Games like The Confession

A typical game among these

≈ 193k–510k copies

≈ $513k–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sultan's Game at ≈ 876k–1.4M copies, ≈ $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 448 to 17k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Choices Matter (7 of 8) and Simulation (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Choices Matter, priced around $18.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Reigns 2016	Est. copies ≈ 338k–550k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $278k–$748k after Steam's cut $506k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$2.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterMedieval
Cultist Simulator 2018	Est. copies ≈ 433k–704k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	14k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationChoices Matter
Do Not Feed the Monkeys 2018	Est. copies ≈ 388k–631k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before Steam's cut	$15.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Point & ClickPolitical Sim
The Test: Hypothesis Rising 2020	Est. copies ≈ 147k–239k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$332k before Steam's cut	$1.99	6k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationMultiple Endings
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut 2023	Est. copies ≈ 856k–1.4M 4.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut	$17.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelChoices Matter
Sultan's Game 2025	Est. copies ≈ 876k–1.4M 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	35k reviews Very Positive	RPGSimulation
Beholder 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 3.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut	$13.99	31k reviews Very Positive	Dystopian Choices Matter
Cyber Manhunt 2: New World - The Hacking Simulator 2025	Est. copies ≈ 141k–230k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $505k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $918k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$12.99	6k reviews Very Positive	HackingStory Rich