How much revenue did Harvest Island make?

$48k–$128k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Harvest Island sell?

Q: How many copies did Harvest Island sell?

7k to 11k copies, based on its 280 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 7k–11k; $48k–$128k after Steam's cut $87k–$197k before Steam's cut; from 280 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Harvest Island and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Harvest Island's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–3.7M

best case 3.5M (Outer Wilds)

Games like Harvest Island

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–3.7M copies

≈ $15.8M–$39.6M after Steam's cut

from ~55k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Outer Wilds at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 392 to 10k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (6 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Exploration + Space, priced around $25.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
SOMA 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Horror Psychological Horror
INSIDE 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
Firewatch 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.8M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.9M–$61.5M after Steam's cut $41.6M–$94.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	100k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAtmospheric
Outer Wilds 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	108k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationSpace
DREDGE 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.6M–$41.9M after Steam's cut $28.4M–$64.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	57k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationFishing
Inside the Backrooms 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.2M before Steam's cut	$6.99	47k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorMultiplayer
Journey 2020	Est. copies ≈ 958k–1.6M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.6M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	39k reviews Very Positive	BeautifulAtmospheric