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How many copies did The Longest Road on Earth sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–26k
$44k–$119k after Steam's cut $81k–$184k before Steam's cut
from 652 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Longest Road on Earth and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Longest Road on Earth's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–1.3M
best case 3.8M (Mirror 2: Project X)
Games like The Longest Road on Earth

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–1.3M copies

≈ $12k–$4.1M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror 2: Project X at ≈ 2.9M–4.7M copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 272 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 23k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Interactive Fiction (5 of 8) and Visual Novel (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Match 3 + Anime, priced around $2.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Brass
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Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$204–$551 after Steam's cut $371–$847 before Steam's cut
$5.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
Interactive FictionAdventure
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelHistorical
Harold Halibut
2024
Est. copies
≈ 33k–54k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$320k–$860k after Steam's cut $581k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$34.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichCinematic
Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk
2020
Est. copies
≈ 853k–1.4M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$349k–$939k after Steam's cut $635k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$1.49
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
A Plague Tale: Requiem
2022
Est. copies
≈ 684k–1.1M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.4M–$25.3M after Steam's cut $17.1M–$38.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Mirror 2: Project X
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
8.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut
$1.99
116k reviews
Mostly Negative
3DMatch 3
In Your Books
2022
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$695–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$5.99
17 reviews
Mostly Positive
ConversationVisual Novel
The Companion
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$34k before Steam's cut
$9.99
121 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualWholesome

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