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How big is Virus Blast?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 719–1k
from 29 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Virus Blast and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Virus Blast's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 251k–552k
best case 732k (Dome Keeper)
Games like Virus Blast

A typical game among these

≈ 251k–552k copies

≈ $2.9M–$5.4M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Arcade (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Dome Keeper at ≈ 558k–906k copies, ≈ $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 474 reviews in their first month; the range was 105 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (3 of 8) and Physics (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Post-apocalyptic + Rogue-like, priced around $18.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Derail Valley
2019
Est. copies
≈ 283k–460k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessTrains
Stellar Settlers: Space Base Builder
2025
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$68k–$183k after Steam's cut $124k–$282k before Steam's cut
$11.99
834 reviews
Mixed
Dome Keeper
2022
Est. copies
≈ 558k–906k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$17.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerPost-apocalyptic
Dungeon Clawler
2026
Est. copies
≈ 100k–162k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$411k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $748k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessRogue-lite
Exit From
2021
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$37k–$101k after Steam's cut $68k–$155k before Steam's cut
$9.99
549 reviews
Very Positive
Roundguard
2020
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$79k–$212k after Steam's cut $143k–$326k before Steam's cut
$19.99
578 reviews
Very Positive
PinballPhysics
Castle Break
2019
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$122k before Steam's cut
$4.99
749 reviews
Very Positive
ActionArcade
SNØ: Ultimate Freeriding
2025
Est. copies
≈ 24k–38k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$78k–$209k after Steam's cut $141k–$321k before Steam's cut
$11.99
949 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SingleplayerSkiing

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.