How much revenue did Agrou make?

$97k–$260k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Agrou sell?

Q: How many copies did Agrou sell?

70k to 114k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 70k–114k; $97k–$260k after Steam's cut $176k–$400k before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Agrou and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Agrou's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.4M–23.7M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Agrou

A typical game among these

≈ 7.4M–23.7M copies

≈ $38.3M–$88.5M after Steam's cut

from ~228k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Card Game (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 55k reviews in their first month; the range was 21k to 86k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Card Game (2 of 8) and Deckbuilding (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Bloons TD 6 2018	Est. copies ≈ 12.0M–19.6M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut	$13.99	396k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseStrategy
Slay the Spire 2019	Est. copies ≈ 6.3M–10.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	220k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Game
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut	$35.00	236k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition 2009	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.6M–$36.5M after Steam's cut $24.7M–$56.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	156k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseZombies
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut $38.3M–$87.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	154k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSimulation
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Balatro 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	200k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card GameRoguelike Deckbuilder
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 36.2M–58.9M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	647k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic