How much revenue did Small Saga make?

$299k–$805k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Small Saga sell?

Q: How many copies did Small Saga sell?

54k to 88k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 54k–88k; $299k–$805k after Steam's cut $544k–$1.2M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Small Saga and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Small Saga's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 580k–1.4M

best case 9.1M (Clair Obscur: Expedition 33)

Games like Small Saga

A typical game among these

≈ 580k–1.4M copies

≈ $6.0M–$12.0M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 at ≈ 6.9M–11.3M copies, ≈ $95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 795 to 92k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and JRPG (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Story Rich, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Lore-Rich + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Metaphor: ReFantazio 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut $37.7M–$85.7M before Steam's cut	$69.99	43k reviews Very Positive	RPGJRPG
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 2025	Est. copies ≈ 6.9M–11.3M 19x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's cut $173.2M–$394.0M before Steam's cut	$49.99	279k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Turn-Based CombatStory Rich
DRAGON QUEST® XI S: Echoes of an Elusive Age™ - Definitive Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 302k–490k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.9M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	12k reviews Very Positive	JRPGTurn-Based Combat
The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky 2014	Est. copies ≈ 583k–947k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	10k reviews Very Positive	JRPG Story Rich
FINAL FANTASY® XIII 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.4M before Steam's cut	$15.99	20k reviews Mostly Positive	JRPGRPG
FINAL FANTASY IX 2016	Est. copies ≈ 598k–971k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.5M–$9.3M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.3M before Steam's cut	$20.99	14k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPG Story Rich
FINAL FANTASY X/X-2 HD Remaster 2016	Est. copies ≈ 986k–1.6M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.1M–$21.9M after Steam's cut $14.8M–$33.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	24k reviews Very Positive	JRPGTurn-Based Combat
Ruined King: A League of Legends Story™ 2021	Est. copies ≈ 281k–457k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	11k reviews Very Positive	RPGTurn-Based Combat