How much revenue did Scrapnaut make?

$80k–$215k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Scrapnaut sell?

Q: How many copies did Scrapnaut sell?

21k to 34k copies, based on its 838 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 21k–34k; $80k–$215k after Steam's cut $145k–$331k before Steam's cut; from 838 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Scrapnaut and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Scrapnaut's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13.8M–30.9M

best case 129.3M (Terraria)

Games like Scrapnaut

A typical game among these

≈ 13.8M–30.9M copies

≈ $189.9M–$223.2M after Steam's cut

from ~487k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Terraria at ≈ 98.5M–160.1M copies, ≈ $270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 398k reviews in their first month; the range was 182k to 558k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World Survival Craft (8 of 8) and Survival (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Crafting, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Sandbox + PvP + 2D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Raft 2022	Est. copies ≈ 9.4M–15.3M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	379k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalMultiplayer
Project Zomboid 2013	Est. copies ≈ 30.5M–49.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	483k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
ARK: Survival Evolved 2017	Est. copies ≈ 26.8M–43.5M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	779k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Rust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.4M reviews Very Positive	SurvivalCrafting
Valheim 2026	Est. copies ≈ 13.9M–22.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut $208.9M–$475.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	562k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Terraria 2011	Est. copies ≈ 98.5M–160.1M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut $492.0M–$1119.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.6M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSandbox
Palworld 2026	Est. copies ≈ 12.2M–19.8M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	491k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldSurvival
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies