How many copies did Acolyte: Prologue sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 82 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Acolyte: Prologue make?

Acolyte: Prologue is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Acolyte: Prologue?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 2k–3k; from 82 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Acolyte: Prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Acolyte: Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 28k–48k

best case 1.1M (Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk)

Games like Acolyte: Prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 28k–48k copies

≈ $194k–$307k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk at ≈ 853k–1.4M copies, ≈ $349k–$939k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 234 reviews in their first month; the range was 163 to 621.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (6 of 8) and Interactive Fiction (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Interactive Fiction, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry Interactive Fiction + Pixel Graphics + Relaxing; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
MetaWare High School (Demo) 2020	Est. copies ≈ 17k–28k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	699 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelPhilosophical
Coffee Talk 2020	Est. copies ≈ 314k–510k 12x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut	$12.99	13k reviews Very Positive	ConversationPixel Graphics
Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk 2020	Est. copies ≈ 853k–1.4M 32x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $349k–$939k after Steam's cut $635k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$1.49	34k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual Novel Psychological Horror
A Mortician's Tale 2017	Est. copies ≈ 49k–80k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $136k–$364k after Steam's cut $246k–$561k before Steam's cut	$9.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	CasualIndie
Motesolo : No Girlfriend Since Birth 2021	Est. copies ≈ 27k–44k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $173k–$464k after Steam's cut $314k–$714k before Steam's cut	$22.99	1k reviews Very Positive	SimulationFMV
AI Dungeon 2022	Est. copies ≈ 20k–32k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	803 reviews Mixed	Multiple EndingsNonlinear
My Lovely Daughter 2018	Est. copies ≈ 40k–65k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $165k–$442k after Steam's cut $299k–$681k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	Interactive FictionVisual Novel
The Confession 2020	Est. copies ≈ 25k–41k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$57k before Steam's cut	$1.99	1k reviews Very Positive	SimulationDark Humor