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How many copies did Sizeable sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 87k–141k
$167k–$449k after Steam's cut $303k–$690k before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sizeable and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sizeable's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 583k–1.4M
best case 1.3M (Unpacking)
Games like Sizeable

A typical game among these

≈ 583k–1.4M copies

≈ $2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Unpacking at ≈ 1.0M–1.7M copies, ≈ $5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 579 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Point & Click (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Story Rich, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Machinarium
2009
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Point & ClickPuzzle
The Room Three
2018
Est. copies
≈ 409k–665k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$674k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$5.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleMystery
The Room 4: Old Sins
2021
Est. copies
≈ 456k–741k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$8.99
18k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleMystery
The Room Two
2016
Est. copies
≈ 908k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleMystery
A Little to the Left
2022
Est. copies
≈ 478k–777k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
The Room
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleMystery
Unpacking
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingCute
Hidden Folks
2017
Est. copies
≈ 329k–534k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Hidden ObjectCasual

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.