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How big is The Night Fisherman?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 19k–31k
from 766 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Night Fisherman and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Night Fisherman's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–2.4M
best case 6.7M (The Walking Dead)
Games like The Night Fisherman

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–2.4M copies

≈ $11.2M–$19.4M after Steam's cut

from ~38k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Walking Dead at ≈ 5.1M–8.3M copies, ≈ $21.0M–$56.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and Choices Matter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Story Rich, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Zombies + Point & Click + Drama; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Life is Strange 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 856k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
The Walking Dead: Season Two
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesAdventure
The Walking Dead
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.0M–$56.5M after Steam's cut $38.2M–$86.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
81k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesStory Rich
The Wolf Among Us
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.5M–$28.2M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureDetective
The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
47k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Life is Strange: Before the Storm
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut
$16.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
Emily is Away
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
32k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStory Rich

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