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How many copies did Leisure Suit Larry - Wet Dreams Dry Twice sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 24k–40k
$235k–$633k after Steam's cut $428k–$973k before Steam's cut
from 986 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Leisure Suit Larry - Wet Dreams Dry Twice and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Leisure Suit Larry - Wet Dreams Dry Twice's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.6M–12.9M
best case 37.9M (HELLDIVERS™ 2)
Games like Leisure Suit Larry - Wet Dreams Dry Twice

A typical game among these

≈ 3.6M–12.9M copies

≈ $18.3M–$165.1M after Steam's cut

from ~146k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Platformer (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: HELLDIVERS™ 2 at ≈ 28.9M–46.9M copies, ≈ $317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 24k reviews in their first month; the range was 7k to 251k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (3 of 8) and Open World (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Shooter, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Helltaker
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≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
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SandboxGore
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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Free
Free
468k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
HELLDIVERS™ 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 28.9M–46.9M
8.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.2M reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpPvE
Borderlands 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$89.5M–$240.7M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.4M before Steam's cut
$79.99
164k reviews
Very Positive
RPGLooter Shooter
Pizza Tower
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great Soundtrack2D Platformer
Getting Over It with Bennett Foddy
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.8M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$25.8M before Steam's cut
$7.99
83k reviews
Very Positive
Yakuza 0
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAction

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