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How many copies did MBHL20 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$476–$1k after Steam's cut $866–$2k before Steam's cut
from 14 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MBHL20 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MBHL20's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 109k–253k
best case 744k (Undisputed)
Games like MBHL20

A typical game among these

≈ 109k–253k copies

≈ $743k–$4.4M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Undisputed at ≈ 567k–921k copies, ≈ $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 938 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (8 of 8) and Fighting (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 3D Fighter + Third Person, priced around $50.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wrestling Empire
2021
Est. copies
≈ 78k–127k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$429k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $781k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SportsWrestling
WWE 2K23
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Est. copies
≈ 189k–307k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Free
Free
8k reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsSimulation
WWE 2K24
2024
Est. copies
≈ 197k–320k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
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SportsSimulation
Undisputed
2024
Est. copies
≈ 567k–921k
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
23k reviews
Mixed
3D FighterThird Person
The Thrill of the Fight - VR Boxing
2019
Est. copies
≈ 117k–191k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$323k–$868k after Steam's cut $587k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRSports
RUMBLE
2022
Est. copies
≈ 88k–144k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$608k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
VRFighting
Slapshot
2019
Est. copies
≈ 72k–117k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySports
PuckOFF
2022
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
$19.99
31 reviews
Mixed
HockeySports

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