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How many copies did Grow: Song of the Evertree sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 64k–103k
$438k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $795k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Grow: Song of the Evertree and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Grow: Song of the Evertree's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 34k–64k
best case 87k (Hokko Life)
Games like Grow: Song of the Evertree

A typical game among these

≈ 34k–64k copies

≈ $301k–$646k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hokko Life at ≈ 66k–108k copies, ≈ $364k–$979k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 862 reviews in their first month; the range was 113 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Farming Sim (6 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Life Sim + Farming Sim, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hokko Life
2022
Est. copies
≈ 66k–108k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$364k–$979k after Steam's cut $662k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mixed
Life SimFarming Sim
Re:Legend
2022
Est. copies
≈ 50k–82k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$345k–$929k after Steam's cut $628k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Mixed
Cattails: Wildwood Story
2023
Est. copies
≈ 48k–78k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$265k–$713k after Steam's cut $482k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsLife Sim
Winkeltje: The Little Shop
2022
Est. copies
≈ 45k–74k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$187k–$503k after Steam's cut $340k–$774k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Shop KeeperCozy
Dong-Jin Rice-hime(東津萌米)
2017
Est. copies
≈ 17k–27k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$91k–$246k after Steam's cut $166k–$378k before Steam's cut
$19.99
483 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAnime
STORY OF SEASONS: A Wonderful Life
2023
Est. copies
≈ 35k–56k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$381k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $693k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualRPG
Stranded Sails - Explorers of the Cursed Islands
2019
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$197k–$529k after Steam's cut $358k–$814k before Steam's cut
$24.99
994 reviews
Mostly Positive
AgricultureExploration
Garden In!
2023
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$29k–$79k after Steam's cut $54k–$122k before Steam's cut
$9.99
432 reviews
Very Positive
WholesomeSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.