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How many copies did Cascade Cafe sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$681–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 20 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cascade Cafe and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cascade Cafe's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 106k–167k
best case 167k (Axis & Allies 1942 Online)
Games like Cascade Cafe

A typical game among these

≈ 106k–167k copies

≈ $953k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Axis & Allies 1942 Online at ≈ 127k–206k copies, ≈ $698k–$1.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 547 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (8 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Wargame + Board Game, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.