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How many copies did City of Gangsters sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 39k–63k
$320k–$860k after Steam's cut $581k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid City of Gangsters and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including City of Gangsters's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 79k–288k
best case 685k (Drug Dealer Simulator)
Games like City of Gangsters

A typical game among these

≈ 79k–288k copies

≈ $612k–$3.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Drug Dealer Simulator at ≈ 522k–848k copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 280 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Management (6 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Crime, priced around $20.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Drug Dealer Simulator
2020
Est. copies
≈ 522k–848k
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCrime
Definitely Not Fried Chicken
2023
Est. copies
≈ 64k–104k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$440k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $800k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
112 Operator
2020
Est. copies
≈ 183k–297k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationRealistic
Evil Genius 2: World Domination
2021
Est. copies
≈ 329k–534k
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$15.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
13k reviews
Mixed
StrategyBase-Building
Weedcraft Inc
2019
Est. copies
≈ 49k–79k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$267k–$719k after Steam's cut $486k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationStrategy
Godlike Burger
2022
Est. copies
≈ 27k–43k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$147k–$396k after Steam's cut $267k–$608k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
CookingTime Management
Cartel Tycoon
2022
Est. copies
≈ 95k–154k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$781k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
Top-DownRTS
Basement
2019
Est. copies
≈ 64k–104k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$353k–$950k after Steam's cut $642k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mixed
ManagementStrategy

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