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How big is Zenith: Nexus?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 112k–181k
from 5k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Zenith: Nexus and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Zenith: Nexus's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–1.2M
best case 12.2M (VRChat)
Games like Zenith: Nexus

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–1.2M copies

from ~740 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: VRChat at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 31 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 117.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (7 of 8) and MMORPG (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Anime.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

VRChat
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
364x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
269k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRFree to Play
Steam Link
2015
Est. copies
≈ 360k–584k
10.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Steam MachineSoftware
Fishing Planet
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
105x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Very Positive
FishingFree to Play
QUEST TOGETHER Online
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
165 reviews
Mixed
VRMMORPG
OrbusVR: Reborn
2019
Est. copies
≈ 34k–55k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Massively MultiplayerRPG
Ilysia
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
295 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessVR
The Maze: Humanity
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
69 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAction
Oathbreakers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 868–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
35 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessVR

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