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How many copies did Panzer Knights sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50k–81k
$343k–$923k after Steam's cut $624k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Panzer Knights and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Panzer Knights's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11k–181k
best case 27.3M (The Forest)
Games like Panzer Knights

A typical game among these

≈ 11k–181k copies

≈ $123k–$4.2M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (7 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Survival + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
475x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Valkyria Chronicles™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 746k–1.2M
9.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeStrategy
Tokyo Warfare Turbo
2019
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$51k–$138k after Steam's cut $93k–$212k before Steam's cut
$14.99
431 reviews
Very Positive
TanksAnime
My Waifu Is A Tank Girl! 💕
2025
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
$2.99
200 reviews
Very Positive
NuditySimulation
Valkyria Chronicles 4 Complete Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 216k–351k
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyAnime
Multi Turret Academy
2024
Est. copies
≈ 46k–75k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$114k–$307k after Steam's cut $207k–$472k before Steam's cut
$8.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessTanks
Panzer Hearts - War Visual Novel
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
135 reviews
Very Positive
IndieVisual Novel
Panzermadels: Tank Dating Simulator
2016
Est. copies
≈ 60k–97k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$164k–$442k after Steam's cut $299k–$679k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
MemesAnime

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.