How much revenue did Winter Ember make?

$23k–$63k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Winter Ember sell?

Q: How many copies did Winter Ember sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 114 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; $23k–$63k after Steam's cut $42k–$96k before Steam's cut; from 114 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Winter Ember and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Winter Ember's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 25.8M–33.9M

best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)

Games like Winter Ember

A typical game among these

≈ 25.8M–33.9M copies

≈ $232.8M–$784.8M after Steam's cut

from ~507k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Story Rich (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
DARK SOULS™ III 2016	Est. copies ≈ 18.3M–29.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut	$59.99	441k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Dying Light 2015	Est. copies ≈ 24.2M–39.3M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	496k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror
Cyberpunk 2077 2020	Est. copies ≈ 24.4M–39.6M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	983k reviews Very Positive	CyberpunkOpen World
Fallout 4 2015	Est. copies ≈ 21.0M–34.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	429k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered 2015	Est. copies ≈ 43.8M–71.2M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	898k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG
Black Myth: Wukong 2024	Est. copies ≈ 30.1M–48.9M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	1.2M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MythologyAction RPG
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim 2011	Est. copies ≈ 20.1M–32.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.9M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	318k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
Monster Hunter: World 2018	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $129.9M–$349.3M after Steam's cut $236.2M–$537.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	518k reviews Very Positive	Co-opMultiplayer