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How many copies did Who is the Liar? sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$624–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 46 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Who is the Liar? and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Who is the Liar?'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 343k–651k
best case 3.1M (L.A. Noire)
Games like Who is the Liar?

A typical game among these

≈ 343k–651k copies

≈ $2.7M–$4.0M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: L.A. Noire at ≈ 2.3M–3.8M copies, ≈ $12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 953 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Detective (7 of 8) and Mystery (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Mystery, priced around $13. The breakout hits carry RPG + Simulation + Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sherlock Holmes: The Devil's Daughter
2016
Est. copies
≈ 604k–982k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureDetective
Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 981k–1.6M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle
The Case of the Golden Idol
2022
Est. copies
≈ 273k–444k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$17.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MysteryDetective
Strange Horticulture
2022
Est. copies
≈ 401k–652k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$15.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryPuzzle
Pentiment
2022
Est. copies
≈ 244k–397k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HistoricalStory Rich
L.A. Noire
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut $23.4M–$53.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveCrime
Murders on the Yangtze River
2024
Est. copies
≈ 528k–858k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveAdventure
Enigma of Fear
2024
Est. copies
≈ 257k–417k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MysteryInvestigation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.