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How many copies did Tennis Manager 2021 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–9k
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before Steam's cut
from 232 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tennis Manager 2021 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tennis Manager 2021's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 686k–998k
best case 1.3M (F1® 2020)
Games like Tennis Manager 2021

A typical game among these

≈ 686k–998k copies

≈ $6.0M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: F1® 2020 at ≈ 990k–1.6M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Sports (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Simulation.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Motorsport Manager
2016
Est. copies
≈ 592k–962k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
ManagementRacing
Football Manager 2019
2018
Est. copies
≈ 379k–617k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSports
Football Manager 2024
2023
Est. copies
≈ 709k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
29k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSports
Football Manager 2021
2020
Est. copies
≈ 591k–961k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24k reviews
Very Positive
SportsSimulation
F1® 2020
2020
Est. copies
≈ 990k–1.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
Football Manager 2020
2019
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
32k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSports
Football Manager 2023
2022
Est. copies
≈ 491k–798k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
20k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSports
Football Manager 2022
2021
Est. copies
≈ 534k–867k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
22k reviews
Very Positive
SportsManagement

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