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How many copies did Football Manager 2023 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 491k–798k
from 20k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Football Manager 2023 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Football Manager 2023's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 854k–1.3M
best case 4.9M (EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23)
Games like Football Manager 2023

A typical game among these

≈ 854k–1.3M copies

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23 at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Sports (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Football (Soccer) + Sports. The breakout hits carry Controller + Team-Based + e-sports; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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≈ 709k–1.2M
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SportsSimulation
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≈ 1.3M–2.1M
1.6x vs typical
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Immersive SimBasketball
F1® 2020
2020
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≈ 990k–1.6M
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RacingSimulation
Football Manager 2020
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Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
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SimulationSports
EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Football (Soccer)Sports
Football Manager 2022
2021
Est. copies
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SportsManagement

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