Sign in
wishvane

How big is Chesnakisnak?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 347–564
from 14 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Chesnakisnak and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chesnakisnak's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14k–108k
best case 181k (Hunt Down The Freeman)
Games like Chesnakisnak

A typical game among these

≈ 14k–108k copies

≈ $48k–$587k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hunt Down The Freeman at ≈ 138k–224k copies, ≈ $379k–$1.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 363 reviews in their first month; the range was 60 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Walking Simulator (8 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Walking Simulator + Souls-like, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Cloud Climber
2021
Est. copies
≈ 103k–167k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayWalking Simulator
Observer: System Redux
2020
Est. copies
≈ 75k–122k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$620k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorInvestigation
Hunt Down The Freeman
2018
Est. copies
≈ 138k–224k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$379k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $689k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Mixed
NOSTALGIC TRAIN
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$81k before Steam's cut
$11.99
195 reviews
Mostly Positive
The Land of Pain
2017
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$90k–$242k after Steam's cut $164k–$372k before Steam's cut
$11.99
793 reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorExploration
Paradise Lost
2021
Est. copies
≈ 62k–101k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$257k–$691k after Steam's cut $467k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Mixed
UndergroundWalking Simulator
Escape From Lavender Island
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$62k before Steam's cut
$9.99
221 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationOpen World
Neyasnoe
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$33k–$88k after Steam's cut $60k–$136k before Steam's cut
$9.99
481 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSandbox

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.