How much revenue did Observer: System Redux make?

$620k–$1.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Observer: System Redux sell?

Q: How many copies did Observer: System Redux sell?

75k to 122k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 75k–122k; $620k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Observer: System Redux and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Observer: System Redux's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10k–114k

best case 512k (Cyber Manhunt)

Games like Observer: System Redux

A typical game among these

≈ 10k–114k copies

≈ $50k–$513k after Steam's cut

from ~457 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Horror (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Cyber Manhunt at ≈ 390k–634k copies, ≈ $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 105 reviews in their first month; the range was 20 to 5k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (3 of 8) and Puzzle (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Cyber Manhunt 2021	Est. copies ≈ 390k–634k 34x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	16k reviews Very Positive	SimulationRPG
No Time 2019	Est. copies ≈ 64k–105k 4.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $230k–$618k after Steam's cut $418k–$951k before Steam's cut	$12.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Time TravelTime Manipulation
Dry Drowning 2019	Est. copies ≈ 15k–24k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $82k–$220k after Steam's cut $149k–$339k before Steam's cut	$19.99	518 reviews Very Positive	FuturisticAdventure
Ship Of Mist 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut	$5.99	41 reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorFemale Protagonist
Transient: Extended Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 9k–14k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $48k–$129k after Steam's cut $87k–$199k before Steam's cut	$19.99	352 reviews Mixed	LovecraftianCyberpunk
Nikopol: Secrets of the Immortals 2009	Est. copies ≈ 25k–41k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$142k before Steam's cut	$4.99	396 reviews Mixed	Choose Your Own AdventurePoint & Click
XXX_CYBERRAT_XXX 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut	$5.99	148 reviews Very Positive	HorrorHacking
Arctic Eggs 2024	Est. copies ≈ 154k–250k 14x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $422k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $768k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	6k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CookingPhysics