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How many copies did The Amazing American Circus sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–17k
$44k–$119k after Steam's cut $80k–$183k before Steam's cut
from 433 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Amazing American Circus and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Amazing American Circus's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 303k–485k
best case 799k (Marvel's Midnight Suns)
Games like The Amazing American Circus

A typical game among these

≈ 303k–485k copies

≈ $4.0M–$8.4M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Marvel's Midnight Suns at ≈ 609k–990k copies, ≈ $10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (8 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Superhero + Turn-Based Tactics, priced around $60.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Jagged Alliance 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 374k–608k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut
$44.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children
2020
Est. copies
≈ 246k–399k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
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10k reviews
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CRPGTactical RPG
Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters
2022
Est. copies
≈ 368k–597k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut
$44.99
15k reviews
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Warhammer 40KTurn-Based Strategy
Black Book
2021
Est. copies
≈ 168k–272k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerTurn-Based Tactics
The Last Spell
2023
Est. copies
≈ 341k–555k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
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StrategySingleplayer
King Arthur: Knight's Tale
2022
Est. copies
≈ 188k–305k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$44.99
8k reviews
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Tactical RPGTurn-Based Tactics
Songs of Conquest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 337k–547k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.5M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
14k reviews
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Local MultiplayerTurn-Based Tactics
Marvel's Midnight Suns
2022
Est. copies
≈ 609k–990k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.