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How many copies did Born Race sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$570–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
from 42 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Born Race and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Born Race's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 53k–166k
best case 382k (Baldi's Basics Plus)
Games like Born Race

A typical game among these

≈ 53k–166k copies

≈ $200k–$969k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Management (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Baldi's Basics Plus at ≈ 291k–473k copies, ≈ $800k–$2.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 388 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Management (4 of 8) and Economy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Stealth, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Computer Tycoon
2017
Est. copies
≈ 35k–57k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$193k–$520k after Steam's cut $351k–$799k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
HardwareSoftware
RetroMaze
2018
Est. copies
≈ 49k–79k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$13k–$36k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before Steam's cut
$0.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualIndie
Two Point Campus
2022
Est. copies
≈ 204k–331k
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Nebuchadnezzar
2021
Est. copies
≈ 46k–74k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$251k–$674k after Steam's cut $456k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
City BuilderSandbox
Sand:box
2023
Est. copies
≈ 44k–71k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$24k–$64k after Steam's cut $44k–$99k before Steam's cut
$1.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SandboxPixel Graphics
Play minigames with Reiko
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$109 after Steam's cut $75–$168 before Steam's cut
$5.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
Early AccessAnime
Baldi's Basics Plus
2020
Est. copies
≈ 291k–473k
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$800k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
GearCity
2022
Est. copies
≈ 38k–61k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$207k–$555k after Steam's cut $376k–$854k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive

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