How much revenue did BoltBreak make?

$2k–$6k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did BoltBreak sell?

Q: How many copies did BoltBreak sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 56 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut; from 56 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BoltBreak and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BoltBreak's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–5.7M

best case 7.3M (鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal)

Games like BoltBreak

A typical game among these

≈ 2.4M–5.7M copies

≈ $18.4M–$53.4M after Steam's cut

from ~81k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: 鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 55k reviews in their first month; the range was 17k to 208k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and Sandbox (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Management + Simulation, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rec Room 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	84k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayVR
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal 2023	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	225k reviews Mixed	ManagementSingleplayer
Creativerse 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.3M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	31k reviews Mostly Positive	ExplorationSandbox
Batman: Arkham City - Game of the Year Edition 2012	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.3M–$73.3M after Steam's cut $49.6M–$112.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	78k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionOpen World
V Rising 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $32.8M–$88.2M after Steam's cut $59.6M–$135.6M before Steam's cut	$34.99	137k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World
Batman™: Arkham Origins 2013	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.8M–$61.3M after Steam's cut $41.5M–$94.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	66k reviews Very Positive	ActionOpen World
Noita 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PhysicsRogue-like
Trailmakers 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	39k reviews Very Positive	SpaceAction