How much revenue did Cozy Grove make?

$870k–$2.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Cozy Grove sell?

Q: How many copies did Cozy Grove sell?

211k to 343k copies, based on its 9k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 211k–343k; $870k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut; from 9k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cozy Grove and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cozy Grove's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 449k–666k

best case 6.2M (DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED)

Games like Cozy Grove

A typical game among these

≈ 449k–666k copies

≈ $2.3M–$4.6M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Story Rich (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED at ≈ 4.8M–7.7M copies, ≈ $52.3M–$140.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 515 to 7k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (4 of 8) and Puzzle (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Souls-like + Dark Fantasy, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Souls-like + Dark Fantasy + Difficult; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Cassette Beasts 2023	Est. copies ≈ 277k–450k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Very Positive	ControllerComedy
Unpacking 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.7M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	41k reviews Very Positive	RelaxingCute
Coffee Talk 2020	Est. copies ≈ 314k–510k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut	$12.99	13k reviews Very Positive	ConversationPixel Graphics
DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.8M–7.7M 9.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $52.3M–$140.6M after Steam's cut $95.1M–$216.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	156k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
The Last Campfire 2021	Est. copies ≈ 516k–839k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleAdventure
Donut County 2018	Est. copies ≈ 370k–601k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$12.99	12k reviews Very Positive	CasualIndie
Eastward 2021	Est. copies ≈ 412k–670k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	17k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsStory Rich
The Test 2020	Est. copies ≈ 499k–810k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	20k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation