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How many copies did Pacific Drive sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 669k–1.1M
$5.5M–$14.8M after Steam's cut $10.0M–$22.8M before Steam's cut
from 27k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pacific Drive and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pacific Drive's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 44k–604k
best case 5.8M (Mad Max)
Games like Pacific Drive

A typical game among these

≈ 44k–604k copies

≈ $143k–$3.5M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mad Max at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Driving (5 of 8) and Survival (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Vehicular Combat, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mad Max
2015
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
43x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut $44.2M–$100.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
91k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldVehicular Combat
No Time
2019
Est. copies
≈ 64k–105k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$230k–$618k after Steam's cut $418k–$951k before Steam's cut
$12.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Time TravelTime Manipulation
Jalopy
2018
Est. copies
≈ 345k–561k
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
Automobile SimDriving
FAR: Lone Sails
2018
Est. copies
≈ 806k–1.3M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.9M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericAdventure
Trans-Siberian Railway Simulator
2024
Est. copies
≈ 48k–79k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$266k–$716k after Steam's cut $484k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessTrains
Just Ride:Apparent Horizon 狂飙:极限视界
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$122k before Steam's cut
$19.99
187 reviews
Mostly Positive
ViolentAction
The Last Hope
2016
Est. copies
≈ 41k–67k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$23k–$61k after Steam's cut $41k–$93k before Steam's cut
$1.99
989 reviews
Mostly Negative
ExplorationAction Roguelike
Last Holiday
2023
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$93k–$251k after Steam's cut $170k–$386k before Steam's cut
$29.99
456 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessRealistic

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