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How big is Loop?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 4k–6k
from 147 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Loop and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Loop's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–8.2M
best case 20.7M (The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition)
Games like Loop

A typical game among these

≈ 3.2M–8.2M copies

≈ $33.6M–$42.4M after Steam's cut

from ~82k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition at ≈ 15.8M–25.6M copies, ≈ $173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Fantasy, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut $315.0M–$716.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Firewatch
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.9M–$61.5M after Steam's cut $41.6M–$94.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
100k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
Life is Strange - Episode 1
2015
Est. copies
≈ 8.6M–14.0M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
176k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
To the Moon
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
87k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichGreat Soundtrack
A Plague Tale: Innocence
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$23.1M–$62.1M after Steam's cut $42.0M–$95.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichAdventure
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.7M–$58.5M after Steam's cut $39.5M–$90.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
77k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericPsychological

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