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How many copies did Duck Life 4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut
from 277 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Duck Life 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Duck Life 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 649k–857k
best case 78.3M (Euro Truck Simulator 2)
Games like Duck Life 4

A typical game among these

≈ 649k–857k copies

≈ $2.0M–$4.9M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Cult Classic (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Euro Truck Simulator 2 at ≈ 59.7M–97.0M copies, ≈ $328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Cult Classic (2 of 8) and Nudity (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + FPS + Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NEKOPARA Vol. 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 535k–870k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeSexual Content
POLYGON
2020
Est. copies
≈ 918k–1.5M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Mountain
2014
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$248k–$668k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$0.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie
Tower Unite
2025
Est. copies
≈ 541k–879k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerCasual
Euro Truck Simulator 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 59.7M–97.0M
60x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
944k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DrivingTransportation
Garfield Kart - Furious Racing
2019
Est. copies
≈ 435k–707k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicRacing
Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Notes of Soul
2019
Est. copies
≈ 481k–782k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
17k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMassively Multiplayer

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