How much revenue did Notes of Soul make?

$4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Notes of Soul sell?

Q: How many copies did Notes of Soul sell?

481k to 782k copies, based on its 17k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 481k–782k; $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.4M before Steam's cut; from 17k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Notes of Soul and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Notes of Soul's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–3.5M

best case 15.2M (Fall Guys)

Games like Notes of Soul

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–3.5M copies

≈ $40.1M–$45.2M after Steam's cut

from ~84k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Battle Royale (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 26k reviews in their first month; the range was 18k to 144k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Battle Royale (2 of 8) and First-Person (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Co-op, priced around $14.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Bloons TD 6 2018	Est. copies ≈ 12.0M–19.6M 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut	$13.99	396k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseStrategy
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
Fall Guys 2020	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.9M 5.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	468k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerParty Game
Rec Room 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	84k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayVR
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	88k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerPhysics
Golf With Your Friends 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.9M–$69.5M after Steam's cut $47.0M–$107.0M before Steam's cut	$49.99	76k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerCasual
Realm Royale Reforged 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	56k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Green Hell 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.4M–$54.8M after Steam's cut $37.0M–$84.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	103k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival