How much revenue did Rubber Bandits: Christmas Prologue make?

Rubber Bandits: Christmas Prologue is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Rubber Bandits: Christmas Prologue sell?

Q: How many copies did Rubber Bandits: Christmas Prologue sell?

27k to 44k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 27k–44k; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rubber Bandits: Christmas Prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rubber Bandits: Christmas Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 331k–1.7M

best case 15.2M (Fall Guys)

Games like Rubber Bandits: Christmas Prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 331k–1.7M copies

≈ $2.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 57 to 144k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Party Game (5 of 8) and Party (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale. The breakout hits carry Massively Multiplayer + Battle Royale + Family Friendly; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Fall Guys 2020	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.9M 38x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	468k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerParty Game
Rubber Bandits 2021	Est. copies ≈ 179k–291k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $893k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Family FriendlyParty Game
Pummel Party 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	58k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerFunny
Draw & Guess 2021	Est. copies ≈ 874k–1.4M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut	$4.99	35k reviews Very Positive	PartyMultiplayer
Deceive Inc. 2023	Est. copies ≈ 195k–318k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Social DeductionHeist
Dr. Langeskov, The Tiger, and The Terribly Cursed Emerald: A Whirlwind Heist 2015	Est. copies ≈ 497k–808k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	10k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayComedy
Super Bunny Man 2023	Est. copies ≈ 309k–502k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	12k reviews Very Positive	PlatformerSandbox
Gang Beasts 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M 5.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	68k reviews Very Positive	FunnyPhysics