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How many copies did A Rogue Escape sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut
from 53 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A Rogue Escape and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Rogue Escape's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–49k
best case 227k (Google Earth VR)
Games like A Rogue Escape

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–49k copies

≈ $17k–$167k after Steam's cut

from ~431 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Google Earth VR at ≈ 173k–281k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 66 reviews in their first month; the range was 25 to 254.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and VR (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Open World.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 20k–50k
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ExplorationPsychological Horror
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SimulationFlight
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AdventureSimulation
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≈ 43k–70k
1.8x vs typical
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Mixed
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≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy under 20k
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Overwhelmingly Positive
Aerofly FS 4 Flight Simulator
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≈ 36k–58k
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FlightRacing
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9.6x vs typical
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Very Positive
VRFree to Play

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