How much revenue did The Chameleon make?

$5k–$14k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Chameleon sell?

Q: How many copies did The Chameleon sell?

5k to 8k copies, based on its 191 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–8k; $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut; from 191 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Chameleon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Chameleon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.8M–7.2M

best case 56.0M (PAYDAY 2)

Games like The Chameleon

A typical game among these

≈ 5.8M–7.2M copies

≈ $54.6M–$79.3M after Steam's cut

from ~108k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Stealth (7 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Co-op + FPS + Heist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.6M–$79.6M after Steam's cut $53.8M–$122.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	89k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™ 2014	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	97k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
HITMAN™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M too small to compare SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	37k reviews Very Positive	StealthAction
Batman™: Arkham Knight 2015	Est. copies ≈ 7.8M–12.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut $78.2M–$177.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	160k reviews Very Positive	ActionOpen World
METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN 2015	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	108k reviews Very Positive	StealthOpen World
PAYDAY 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 6.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	675k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAction
Assassin's Creed® Origins 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $73.3M–$197.2M after Steam's cut $133.3M–$303.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	129k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAssassin
corpo/ghost 2024	Est. copies ≈ 149–242 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $614–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$14.99	6 reviews 6 user reviews	ActionPuzzle