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How many copies did Oakenfold sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
from 49 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Oakenfold and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Oakenfold's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 523k–892k
best case 1.2M (Loop Hero)
Games like Oakenfold

A typical game among these

≈ 523k–892k copies

≈ $4.5M–$7.1M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Loop Hero at ≈ 907k–1.5M copies, ≈ $3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (6 of 8) and Rogue-like (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tactical + Rogue-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Into the Breach
2018
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Darkest Dungeon® II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 671k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Mostly Positive
SUPERHOT: MIND CONTROL DELETE
2020
Est. copies
≈ 318k–516k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
FPSTime Manipulation
Loop Hero
2021
Est. copies
≈ 907k–1.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
TacticalRogue-like
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
The Last Spell
2023
Est. copies
≈ 341k–555k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySingleplayer
All Walls Must Fall - A Tech-Noir Tactics Game
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
403 reviews
Mostly Positive
Tactical RPGTurn-Based Tactics
Witch's Reign
2021
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before Steam's cut
$2.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Action RoguelikeChoose Your Own Adventure

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