How much revenue did Darwinia make?

$236k–$635k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Darwinia sell?

Q: How many copies did Darwinia sell?

72k to 116k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 72k–116k; $236k–$635k after Steam's cut $430k–$977k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Darwinia and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Darwinia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 46k–80k

best case 322k (TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children)

Games like Darwinia

A typical game among these

≈ 46k–80k copies

≈ $229k–$450k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children at ≈ 246k–399k copies, ≈ $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 815 reviews in their first month; the range was 521 to 8k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Wargame (5 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Strategy RPG, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Strategy RPG + Turn-Based Strategy + Action RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2019 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Urtuk: The Desolation 2021	Est. copies ≈ 63k–103k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $244k–$657k after Steam's cut $444k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$13.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based TacticsHex Grid
Game of Thrones Winter is Coming 2019	Est. copies ≈ 80k–129k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Mixed	Free to PlayStrategy
Warriors of the Nile 2 2022	Est. copies ≈ 30k–49k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $124k–$334k after Steam's cut $226k–$514k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCard Game
Heroes' Vow: Three Kingdoms 2026	Est. copies ≈ 206k–334k 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessSimulation
TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children 2020	Est. copies ≈ 246k–399k 5.3x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	10k reviews Very Positive	CRPGTactical RPG
Warhammer Underworlds - Shadespire Edition (Classic) 2020	Est. copies ≈ 41k–67k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $339k–$910k after Steam's cut $615k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Mixed	Turn-Based TacticsCard Battler
Ancient Warfare: The Han Dynasty 2023	Est. copies ≈ 52k–85k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $243k–$654k after Steam's cut $442k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$16.99	2k reviews Mixed	Early AccessWar
👑 Idle Calibur 👑（选王之剑） 2022	Est. copies ≈ 33k–53k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $72k–$193k after Steam's cut $130k–$297k before Steam's cut	$7.99	1k reviews Very Positive	IndieRogue-lite