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How many copies did A House of Thieves sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–6k
$11k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut
from 140 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A House of Thieves and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A House of Thieves's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–792k
best case 56.0M (PAYDAY 2)
Games like A House of Thieves

A typical game among these

≈ 13k–792k copies

≈ $64k–$356k after Steam's cut

from ~620 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 40 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 1k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Stealth (8 of 8) and Heist (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Burgle Bros.
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$3.99
55 reviews
Very Positive
HeistBoard Game
corpo/ghost
2024
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$614–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$14.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
ActionPuzzle
Volume
2015
Est. copies
≈ 35k–57k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$192k–$516k after Steam's cut $349k–$793k before Steam's cut
$19.99
715 reviews
Mostly Positive
StealthAction
Picklock
2020
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$67k–$181k after Steam's cut $123k–$279k before Steam's cut
$19.99
495 reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
The Masterplan
2015
Est. copies
≈ 26k–42k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$141k–$378k after Steam's cut $256k–$581k before Steam's cut
$19.99
524 reviews
Mixed
HeistAction
PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
1089x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
675k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction
HITMAN™ 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
121x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
75k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAssassin
Sneak Thief
2022
Est. copies
≈ 47k–77k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$195k–$523k after Steam's cut $354k–$805k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
StealthAction

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