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How many copies did Retrowave Drive sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 397–645
$217–$584 after Steam's cut $395–$898 before Steam's cut
from 16 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Retrowave Drive and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Retrowave Drive's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–16k
best case 527k (Race The Sun)
Games like Retrowave Drive

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–16k copies

≈ $53k–$70k after Steam's cut

from ~412 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Race The Sun at ≈ 402k–653k copies, ≈ $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 256 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 384.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (8 of 8) and Driving (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Procedural Generation + Runner, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Procedural Generation + Perma Death + Difficult; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Race The Sun
2013
Est. copies
≈ 402k–653k
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Procedural GenerationRunner
Switchcars
2021
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before Steam's cut
$8.99
467 reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeAction
Summer Catchers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$29k–$79k after Steam's cut $53k–$121k before Steam's cut
$8.99
412 reviews
Very Positive
RunnerPixel Graphics
Sunset Drive 1986
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
247 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessRunner
Buck Up And Drive!
2022
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$38k–$102k after Steam's cut $69k–$157k before Steam's cut
$7.99
697 reviews
Very Positive
RacingAction
Cyber Driver
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$0.99
158 reviews
Very Positive
Automobile SimCasual
Neodash
2022
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$57k–$152k after Steam's cut $103k–$234k before Steam's cut
$15.99
519 reviews
Very Positive
RacingAction
Getaway Storm
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
162 reviews
Very Positive
ActionRacing

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