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How many copies did Dark spot sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$122–$330 after Steam's cut $222–$507 before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dark spot and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark spot's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–18k
best case 243k (THE LONGING)
Games like Dark spot

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–18k copies

≈ $2k–$11k after Steam's cut

from ~255 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Idler (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: THE LONGING at ≈ 185k–301k copies, ≈ $764k–$2.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 2k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Idler (4 of 8) and Experimental (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Transportation + Management, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Transportation + Strategy + Management; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Horror Girl Puzzle
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$629–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$0.99
76 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleExperimental
Paint Girl
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
3.1x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut
$1.99
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Sexual ContentHentai
Tree Bonsai
2019
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≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut
$0.99
173 reviews
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CasualSimulation
Cat's Menace
2021
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$190–$511 after Steam's cut $345–$786 before Steam's cut
$1.99
14 reviews
Mixed
ExperimentalIdler
The logic inside
2020
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$245–$660 after Steam's cut $446–$1k before Steam's cut
$5.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
CasualPuzzle
Fly Corp
2023
Est. copies
≈ 85k–138k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$350k–$941k after Steam's cut $636k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
TransportationCasual
Grass Cutter - Mutated Lawns
2017
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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DifficultGore
THE LONGING
2020
Est. copies
≈ 185k–301k
29x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$764k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickWalking Simulator

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