How much revenue did Horror Girl Puzzle make?

$629–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Horror Girl Puzzle sell?

Q: How many copies did Horror Girl Puzzle sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 76 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $629–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut; from 76 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Horror Girl Puzzle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Horror Girl Puzzle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 147–326

best case 243k (THE LONGING)

Games like Horror Girl Puzzle

A typical game among these

≈ 147–326 copies

≈ $288–$402 after Steam's cut

from ~6 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Idler (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: THE LONGING at ≈ 185k–301k copies, ≈ $764k–$2.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 2k reviews in their first month.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Idler (4 of 8) and Experimental (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Gore + Souls-like, priced around $8. The breakout hits carry Simulation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The logic inside 2020	Est. copies ≈ 149–242 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $245–$660 after Steam's cut $446–$1k before Steam's cut	$5.99	6 reviews 6 user reviews	CasualPuzzle
Grass Cutter - Mutated Lawns 2017	Est. copies ≈ 12k–19k 56x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	337 reviews Very Positive	DifficultGore
Dark spot 2021	Est. copies ≈ 74–121 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $122–$330 after Steam's cut $222–$507 before Steam's cut	$5.99	3 reviews 3 user reviews	CasualIndie
Cat's Menace 2021	Est. copies ≈ 347–564 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $190–$511 after Steam's cut $345–$786 before Steam's cut	$1.99	14 reviews Mixed	ExperimentalIdler
Tree Bonsai 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k 29x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut	$0.99	173 reviews Very Positive	CasualSimulation
Paint Girl 2020	Est. copies ≈ 20k–32k 131x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut	$1.99	787 reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentHentai
Fly Corp 2023	Est. copies ≈ 85k–138k 571x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $350k–$941k after Steam's cut $636k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	TransportationCasual
THE LONGING 2020	Est. copies ≈ 185k–301k 1246x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $764k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Point & ClickWalking Simulator