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How many copies did COGEN: Sword of Rewind / COGEN: 大鳥こはくと刻の剣 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$81k before Steam's cut
from 115 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid COGEN: Sword of Rewind / COGEN: 大鳥こはくと刻の剣 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including COGEN: Sword of Rewind / COGEN: 大鳥こはくと刻の剣's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 244–19k
best case 567k (Touhou Luna Nights)
Games like COGEN: Sword of Rewind / COGEN: 大鳥こはくと刻の剣

A typical game among these

≈ 244–19k copies

≈ $696–$112k after Steam's cut

from ~22 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Touhou Luna Nights at ≈ 432k–701k copies, ≈ $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 29.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Side Scroller (6 of 8) and Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Side Scroller, priced around $18.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Touhou Luna Nights
2019
Est. copies
≈ 432k–701k
681x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaDifficult
Hard Minus Classic Redux
2021
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$367–$986 after Steam's cut $667–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
18 reviews
Positive
Side Scroller2D Platformer
Super Time Force Ultra
2014
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
44x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$224k–$602k after Steam's cut $407k–$926k before Steam's cut
$14.99
970 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerTime Manipulation
AeternoBlade II: Infinity
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$14.99
65 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionRPG
A Day - to bring them happiness
2021
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$175–$472 after Steam's cut $319–$726 before Steam's cut
$0.99
26 reviews
Positive
Time ManipulationPuzzle-Platformer
Always The Same Nightmare
2021
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$491–$1k after Steam's cut $893–$2k before Steam's cut
$11.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Perma DeathSide Scroller
TimeK
2023
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$491–$1k after Steam's cut $893–$2k before Steam's cut
$11.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Time ManipulationLevel Editor
Omega Mouse Zero
2024
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$381–$1k after Steam's cut $692–$2k before Steam's cut
$6.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
ActionAdventure

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