How many copies did Dysterra sell?

19k to 31k copies, based on its 773 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Dysterra make?

Dysterra is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Dysterra?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 19k–31k; from 773 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dysterra and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dysterra's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.5M–4.2M

best case 7.4M (Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2)

Games like Dysterra

A typical game among these

≈ 3.5M–4.2M copies

≈ $49.5M–$62.7M after Steam's cut

from ~112k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2 at ≈ 5.6M–9.2M copies, ≈ $93.0M–$250.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 36k reviews in their first month; the range was 19k to 98k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (3 of 8) and Action RPG (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Mythology, priced around $55. The breakout hits carry Action + Story Rich + Mythology; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
God of War 2022	Est. copies ≈ 4.6M–7.5M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $63.1M–$169.6M after Steam's cut $114.7M–$260.9M before Steam's cut	$49.99	185k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionSingleplayer
Age of Empires IV: Anniversary Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $26.1M–$70.3M after Steam's cut $47.5M–$108.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	96k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.2M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $93.0M–$250.0M after Steam's cut $169.0M–$384.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Warhammer 40KAction
Warhammer 40,000: Darktide 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $38.0M–$102.2M after Steam's cut $69.1M–$157.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	139k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorTeam-Based
Dragon's Dogma 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $32.1M–$86.3M after Steam's cut $58.3M–$132.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	118k reviews Mixed	Open WorldRPG
Black Desert 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	94k reviews Mostly Positive	MMORPGMassively Multiplayer
Enshrouded 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.0M–$77.9M after Steam's cut $52.7M–$119.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	106k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldSurvival
MONSTER HUNTER RISE 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	127k reviews Very Positive	ActionHunting