How much revenue did Multiwinia make?

$125k–$337k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Multiwinia sell?

Q: How many copies did Multiwinia sell?

38k to 62k copies, based on its 602 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 38k–62k; $125k–$337k after Steam's cut $228k–$519k before Steam's cut; from 602 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Multiwinia and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Multiwinia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.8M–7.7M

best case 19.8M (Hearts of Iron IV)

Games like Multiwinia

A typical game among these

≈ 4.8M–7.7M copies

≈ $69.3M–$103.3M after Steam's cut

from ~121k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hearts of Iron IV at ≈ 15.1M–24.6M copies, ≈ $207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Historical (6 of 8) and RTS (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with World War II + Grand Strategy, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Alternate History + World War II + Military; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Crusader Kings III 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	143k reviews Very Positive	StrategyMedieval
Company of Heroes 2 2013	Est. copies ≈ 7.2M–11.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $39.4M–$105.8M after Steam's cut $71.6M–$162.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	113k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Total War: WARHAMMER III 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $61.3M–$164.8M after Steam's cut $111.4M–$253.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	150k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Hearts of Iron IV 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.1M–24.6M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut $377.6M–$859.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	363k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Age of Empires II (Retired) 2013	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $35.7M–$96.1M after Steam's cut $65.0M–$147.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	103k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyRTS
Total War: WARHAMMER II 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	121k reviews Very Positive	StrategyFantasy
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut $92.1M–$209.6M before Steam's cut	$34.99	183k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Total War: THREE KINGDOMS 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut $54.0M–$123.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	94k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical