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How many copies did The Fabulous Fear Machine sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–23k
$71k–$192k after Steam's cut $130k–$295k before Steam's cut
from 582 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Fabulous Fear Machine and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Fabulous Fear Machine's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–5k
best case 3.6M (Plague Inc: Evolved)
Games like The Fabulous Fear Machine

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–5k copies

≈ $17k–$33k after Steam's cut

from ~109 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Plague Inc: Evolved at ≈ 2.7M–4.5M copies, ≈ $11.3M–$30.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 68 reviews in their first month; the range was 43 to 573.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Outbreak Sim (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Outbreak Sim, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Strategy + Outbreak Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Plague Inc: Evolved
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.5M
605x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.3M–$30.4M after Steam's cut $20.6M–$46.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
66k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Pestis
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$23k–$61k after Steam's cut $41k–$94k before Steam's cut
$24.99
109 reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorEducation
Bio Inc. Redemption
2018
Est. copies
≈ 99k–161k
30x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$353k–$950k after Steam's cut $642k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$12.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Medical SimOutbreak Sim
Shadows of Forbidden Gods
2023
Est. copies
≈ 27k–43k
9.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$146k–$393k after Steam's cut $265k–$604k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Z-Collapse
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut
$12.99
98 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationStrategy
The Backrooms Project
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $18k–$40k before Steam's cut
$9.99
142 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessHorror
Playtown
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
108 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureAction
Baby Blues Nightmares - Toddler Horror Game
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$45k after Steam's cut $30k–$69k before Steam's cut
$12.99
187 reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAdventure

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