How much revenue did Sword and Fairy make?

$142k–$383k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Sword and Fairy sell?

Q: How many copies did Sword and Fairy sell?

104k to 169k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 104k–169k; $142k–$383k after Steam's cut $259k–$589k before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sword and Fairy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sword and Fairy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–6.8M

best case 28.0M (Baldur's Gate 3)

Games like Sword and Fairy

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–6.8M copies

≈ $19.6M–$134.2M after Steam's cut

from ~88k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.3M–34.6M copies, ≈ $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 9k to 268k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Turn-Based Combat (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Character Customization + Choices Matter, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Dungeons & Dragons + Character Customization + Choices Matter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Baldur's Gate 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 21.3M–34.6M 9.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	859k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGCharacter Customization
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG
Persona 5 Royal 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	141k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPG Story Rich
Volcano Princess 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$10.99	49k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Life SimMultiple Endings
Library Of Ruina 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.2M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	45k reviews Very Positive	Story RichCard Game
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 2025	Est. copies ≈ 6.9M–11.3M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's cut $173.2M–$394.0M before Steam's cut	$49.99	279k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Turn-Based CombatStory Rich
Persona 4 Golden 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	88k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Persona 3 Reload 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	65k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG