How much revenue did Black Cat make?

$367–$986 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Black Cat sell?

Q: How many copies did Black Cat sell?

446 to 725 copies, based on its 18 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 446–725; $367–$986 after Steam's cut $667–$2k before Steam's cut; from 18 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Black Cat and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Black Cat's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10k–18k

best case 103k (Star Trek: Resurgence)

Games like Black Cat

A typical game among these

≈ 10k–18k copies

≈ $13k–$18k after Steam's cut

from ~389 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Star Trek: Resurgence at ≈ 79k–128k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 121 reviews in their first month; the range was 37 to 759.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action-Adventure (8 of 8) and Idler (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Choose Your Own Adventure + Interactive Fiction. The breakout hits carry Point & Click + Female Protagonist + Choose Your Own Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Tumbleweed Destiny 2022	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$33k before Steam's cut	$2.99	389 reviews Very Positive	ClickerRogue-lite
Star Trek: Resurgence 2024	Est. copies ≈ 79k–128k 8.1x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Very Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureAdventure
5 NIGHTS AT SHALUN 4: SCHOOL 2024	Est. copies ≈ 15k–24k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$33k before Steam's cut	$1.99	595 reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Game Of Mafia 2021	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut	$9.99	148 reviews Mixed	ActionIdler
Drive Me to Hell 2024	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut	$1.99	282 reviews Very Positive	ActionRacing
Draw 2023	Est. copies ≈ 21k–34k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	849 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGAction RPG
GAI Stops Auto: Right Version Simulator 2021	Est. copies ≈ 8k–14k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut	$2.99	342 reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureIdler
Agarta 2022	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut	$2.99	520 reviews Mostly Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureInteractive Fiction