How much revenue did Agarta make?

$11k–$29k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Agarta sell?

Q: How many copies did Agarta sell?

13k to 21k copies, based on its 520 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 13k–21k; $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut; from 520 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Agarta and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Agarta's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 49k–86k

best case 173k (Until Dawn™)

Games like Agarta

A typical game among these

≈ 49k–86k copies

≈ $252k–$665k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Choices Matter (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Until Dawn™ at ≈ 132k–214k copies, ≈ $2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 586 reviews in their first month; the range was 49 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Choices Matter (4 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Choices Matter, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Away Team: Lost Exodus 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	101 reviews Mostly Positive	NarrationConversation
Lost:Antinomy 2024	Est. copies ≈ 27k–43k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $22k–$59k after Steam's cut $40k–$91k before Steam's cut	$2.99	1k reviews Very Positive	AdventureSimulation
Majotori 2017	Est. copies ≈ 72k–116k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $118k–$317k after Steam's cut $214k–$487k before Steam's cut	$5.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	TriviaMultiple Endings
Trigon: Space Story 2022	Est. copies ≈ 35k–57k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $194k–$522k after Steam's cut $353k–$802k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Mixed	IsometricRogue-like
Heads Will Roll: Reforged 2023	Est. copies ≈ 43k–70k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $295k–$793k after Steam's cut $536k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Replay ValueWar
Until Dawn™ 2024	Est. copies ≈ 132k–214k 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	5k reviews Very Positive	HorrorChoices Matter
Goodbye Volcano High 2023	Est. copies ≈ 46k–75k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $382k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $695k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Story RichLGBTQ+
The Imagined Leviathan: Prologue 2020	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	162 reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureStory Rich