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How many copies did Agarta sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–20k
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$42k before the cut
from 520 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Agarta out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Agarta's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 47k–85k
best case 160k (Until Dawn™)
The Choices Matter genre

6 of your 8 similar games are hits. A niche genre: plan for a small audience.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 47k–85k copies
≈ $249k–$634k after Steam's cut
from ~2k reviews
Best case
≈ 122k–198k copies
Until Dawn™ · ≈ $2.0M–$5.4M after Steam's cut
The genre you'd be entering
The launch
The games that made it here had roughly 49 to 2k reviews in their first month.
Your set
Your set clusters on Choices Matter (4 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Choices Matter, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

The Away Team: Lost Exodus
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
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100 reviews
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NarrationConversation
Lost:Antinomy
2024
Est. copies
≈ 26k–42k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $39k–$88k before the cut
$2.99
1k reviews
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AdventureSimulation
Majotori
2017
Est. copies
≈ 71k–116k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$117k–$315k after Steam's cut $213k–$485k before the cut
$5.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TriviaMultiple Endings
Trigon: Space Story
2022
Est. copies
≈ 34k–55k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$188k–$504k after Steam's cut $341k–$776k before the cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mixed
IsometricRogue-like
Heads Will Roll: Reforged
2023
Est. copies
≈ 40k–66k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$278k–$748k after Steam's cut $506k–$1.2M before the cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Replay ValueWar
Until Dawn™
2024
Est. copies
≈ 122k–198k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.4M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.3M before the cut
$59.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorChoices Matter
Goodbye Volcano High
2023
Est. copies
≈ 44k–72k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$366k–$984k after Steam's cut $665k–$1.5M before the cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichLGBTQ+
The Imagined Leviathan: Prologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
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160 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureStory Rich

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.